Notes

Outline

Globec Legacy- the SSC ideas Philosophy Body of Knowledge Innovative Methodologies Management and information transfer Education/Outreach

Philosophy Multi/interdisciplinary international collaboration Coupled models as integrative tools Mult-scale (time,space, institutional) analysis Enhanced understanding of role of higher trophic levels

Innovative methodologies Coupled models (trophic, scale, time) to investigate structure, function and variability Sampling and technological advances Retrospective studes of past ecosystem states Comparative approach among regions

Management and information transfer Policy (providing conceptual understanding of ecosystem function) Managers (providing tools to incorporate climate-driven variability) Communities (enhancing communication on global ecosystem change and marine sustainability

ESSAS: Ecosystem Studies of Subarctic Seas A new GLOBEC program

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The rhomboid approach in GB GLOBEC NPZ type Copepod life cycle type Larval fish dynamics type

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Copepod life history models: biological resolution on target species

Population dynamics of Calanus finmarchicus

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Examples of copepod models in Georges Bank GLOBEC Miller, Lynch, Carlotti, Gentleman, Lewis, 1998 3-D finite element model and climatology Individual based model Growth and reproduction as f (temperature) Supply to GB from all GoM basins and Scotian Shelf Jordan and Georges must be restocked from upstream sources; role of local production in Wilkinson unresolved

Examples of copepod models in Georges Bank GLOBEC Lynch, Gentleman, McGillicuddy, Davis, 1998  3D finite element hydrodynamic model, mean climatological circulation Advective- diffusive-reactive equation, stage-based development Food limitation represented as linear decline below 150  µgC l-1 Surface only and depth-averaged transport Base model has low mortality and abundant food Spatial and temporal pattersn of Calanus recruitment in first generation consistent with observations only when model included food limitation of populations in low chlorophyll GoM in late winter/early spring

Examples of copepod models in Georges Bank GLOBEC McGillicuddy, Lynch, Moore, Gentleman, Davis, Meise 1998 McGilluddy, Bucklin et al. papers Adjoint data assimilation 3D finite element, climatological circulation Assuming advective fields correct, calculate biological terms (R) that fit the observations

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Local Growth vs Retention/Exchange Due to the circulation gyre, the residence time of water over the Bank is long relative to biological time scales so that in situ growth rather than lateral exchange is the dominant process controlling population abundance on the Bank Fine-scale horizontal exchange causes significant leakage of nutrients, plankton and fish larvae across the frontal boundaries of the Bank, thus causing a chronic input and exchange/loss of nutrients, plankton and fish larvae Secondary circulation associated with the tidal mixing fron causes a surface convergence near the well-mixed area boundary, providing a mechanism for concentrating target species in the tidal front zone. Transport towards the center of the Bank should be greatest for plankton in the upper layer of the water column in this zone, or for those species that undertake vertical migrations. Periodic vertical migration of zooplankton and juvenile fish into and out of the sheared bottom-boundary layer can lead to horizontal movement against the mean flow

Stratification Seasonal density stratification over the southern flank of the Bank causes prey aggregation in the pycnocline and increased survival of predator populations Differences in phytoplankton abundance and species composition mediated by differences in water column stability result in measureable differences in copepod recruitment and growth rates. This leads to greater abundances in one region over another, due solely to high growth rates in situ Turbulent mixing, generated by wind and tidal forcing, has a significant impact on rates of ingestion, respiration and predation; the processes of turbulent mixing and seasonal density stratification influence predator-prey encounter rates and thus growth and survival of individual organisms

Episodic gains and Exchanges/Losses The residual mean flow is important in horizontal transport of zooplankton and fish larvae onto and off of Georges Bank, thus causing major sources and sinks for Bank populations The seeding of copepod populations from the Gulf of Maine during winter has a significant impact on the level of prey biomass for larval fish during late spring and early summer. A corollary is that the population genetic makeup of the prey on Georges Bank reflects the generic makeup of the source populations Storms, especially during winter and early spring, as well as impingement of warm-core rings, can cause large exchanges/losses of zooplankton and fish larvae from Georges Bank, thus increasing the apparent mortality rate of Bank populations Population size is continuously regulated by incremental rather than episodic events, i.e. the time scale of the variability of the driving forces is of the same order as the generation time of the population.

Mortality Predation rather than starvation is the dominant source of mortality of fish larvae; predation rather than advective exchange is ths dominant source of mortality of copepods

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