PowerPoint Presentation - Impacts of Climate and Interannual variability on the seeding and distribution of Calanus finmarchicus in the Gulf of Maine and Georges Bank

Calibrating NCEP against SOC

ĄThe NCEP Climatology thus overestimates the Net Heat Loss for the North Atlantic Region due to overestimation of Latent and Sensible Heat Loss terms and underestimation of Shortwave Gain term.

ĄThis overestimation is leading to spurious results in the Low NAO Model simulation.

ĄFunctional regression is used resolve the overestimation in NCEP Climatology as follows:

ĄSlope (m) and Intercept (y) are determined for each month using the SOC and NCEP climatologies for 1980-1993 (High NAO)

ĄSOC(high NAO) = m*NCEP(high NAO) + y

Ąm and y are used to adjust the NCEP Climatology for 1958-1971 (Low NAO)

ĄPredicted NCEP (low NAO) = m*NCEP(low NAO) y, also

ĄPredicted NCEP (high NAO) = [SOC(high NAO)-y] / m