I seem to have
them waking up, just a little bit early…..I also don’t quite have that second
bump later on, likely it’s the climatology I’m using to force the model…or some
slight parameter tweaking…..but I am prety encouraged by this.
The abundance
graph is hiding up underneath the real data…drag my fig down if you want to
see it….but since my model is somewhat artificially capped at 1000 individuals,
I am not sure how much stock to put in the absolute relative numbers.
This now has the
same parameters as the RIM station on next graph.
My females here
seem to be waking up a bit early.
I am also not
catching that second bolus of animals around 275.
What I am showing
here is on year three.
On year 2,
actually, it looks lore like the real data. Which is interesting.
My conclusion is
that if forcing stays the same, year after year, the population becomes a
little more stretched out, I.e. not such synchronus cohorts.
BUT, when things
change from year to year, this tends to drive the population back towards
cohorts. (the tails of the pop dist. Get trimmed).
At least, this is
my hypothesis.