Notes
Slide Show
Outline
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What Drives Gulf of Maine Flow Variability?
  • James M. Pringle / UNH
  • 
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How do we compare different sources of variability?
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How do we find “u” and “t”
  • For wind and inflow conditions, use numerical model  FVCOM from Chen et al.
    • NCEP reanalysis wind stress
    • CASP Scotian Shelf Inflow data, with BIO hydrography
    • BIO
    •    hydrography



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Alongshore wind response
(2 day timescale)
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Scotian Shelf Inflow
(10 day timescale)
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Density Driven Currents
(3 months to a year)
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Density Driven Coastal currents
timescale ?  Seasons?
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What is ˝ t˝u?
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What hydrographic variability?
1970-2003 Climatology from BIO, 150m depth
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Why continued….
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What sets r gradient?
  • Cooling
    • Very roughly 25% of variance
  • Winds
    • Very roughly 16% of variance
  • Inflow r variability
  •    (for T<year or so)


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Conclusions (part 1)
  • r gradient drives most variability on timescales longer than a month.


  • r gradient governed by mixing


  • r gradient variability strongly effected by
    • Cooling
    • Inflow
    • Winds
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Conclusions (part 2)
  • Models simulations must have
    • Accurate mixing and surface fluxes
    • >year model integrations
    • Resolved measurements of inflow density


  • Or models must assimilate measurements of the density field in Gulf of Maine.
    • Quarterly observations (almost) sufficient.
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How do we find “u” and “t”
  • For density driven flows, use BIO hydrography, only possible between basins
    • 170m level of no motion, consistent with FVCOM