0514 ---- Figure 1: SST image for 10 May 1900 UTC [image.0510.1900.gif] Electronic: image.0510.1900.gif image.0510.1900.ps Figure 2: Map of planned cruise track for 15 May. Also shown are ADCP track lines from Edwin Link and EN323 VPR surveys, and Schiltz mooring line. Electronic: Figure 3: Alongtrack residuals from EL9905 ADCP survey. Electronic: el9905_resid.ps [plotting/en324_fc.m] 0515 ---- Figure 1: Winds from the AVN model (a), buoy observations (b), and a hybrid record used in forecast run EN324_FC.05. Time is in year days GMT; stress in Pascals. Electronic: may15_wind.ps 0516 ---- Figure 1: Simulated and observed drifter trajectories for forecasts EN324_FC.01 (a), EN324_FC.02 (b), EN324_FC.03 (c), EN324_FC.04(d), EN324_FC.05(e) EN324_FC.06 (f), EN324_FC.07(g), EN324_FC.08(h). Electronic: en324_fc.XX_dr.ps Figure 2: Simulated drifter trajectories in the BPE (dotted) and after assimilation (solid). Electronic: release1_el_comp.ps [plotting/release1_el_comp.m] Figure 3: Surface current predictions based on a numerical mooring at the tracer release site. Electronic: mooring_tr1_en324.ps Figure 4: Initial and final locations of a cloud of particles launched around the tracer release site. Electronic: en324_fc.10.ps Figure 5: Trajectory of the central particle in the cloud shown in (4). Electronic: 0517 ---- Figure 1: Temperature cross section from along standard transect 1 taken from (a) the May 16 central forecast (EN324_FC.08), and (b) an experiment in which the surface heat flux was increased to five times its climatological value (run EN324_FC.08h). Electronic: temp_sec.jpg temp_sec2.jpg Figure 2: Satellite SST image from 15 May. Electronic image.0515.1900.gif Figure 3: Surface current predictions based on a numerical mooring at the tracer release site. Electronic: mooring_tr1a_en324.ps 0518 ---- Figure 1. Simulated particle trajectories at the surface (solid line) and 30m. Both particles originate at the center of a cloud at the tracer release site. Electronic: en324_fc.10-14.ps Figure 2. Simulated and observed drifter trajectories for forecasts EN324_FC.15. Electronic: en324_fc.15_dr.ps Figure 3. Simulated and observed drifter trajectories for forecasts EN324_FC.16. Electronic: en324_fc.16_dr.ps 0519 ---- Figure 1. Drifter release locations. Electronic: drif_posit_0519.ps Figure 2. Simulated and observed drifter trajectories: deep drogues. Figure 3. Simulated and observed surface drifter trajectories. 0520 ---- Figure 1: Forecast trajectory of the observed remnant of the tracer release. Electronic: dye_patch_time_27.ps Figure 2: Revised forecast trajectory of the observed remnant of the tracer release based on updated atmospheric forcing. Electronic: dye_patch_28.ps 0521 ---- Figure 1: (a) Simulated currents at the proposed tracer release site based on forecast EN324_FC.29 (b) Simulated trajectory of a particle launched at the tracer release site. Electronic: mooring_tr2.ps Figure 2: (a) Simulated currents at the proposed tracer release site based on forecast EN324_FC.30 (b) Simulated trajectory of a particle launched at the tracer release site. Electronic: mooring_tr2a.ps drifter_tr2a.ps Figure 3: (a) Simulated currents at the proposed tracer release site based on forecast EN324_FC.31 (b) Simulated trajectory of a particle launched at the tracer release site. Electronic: mooring_tr2b.ps drifter_tr2b.ps 0522 ---- Figure 1: (a) Simulated currents at the proposed tracer release site based on forecast EN324_FC.32 (b) Simulated trajectory of a particle launched at the tracer release site. Electronic: mooring_tr2c.ps drifter_tr2c.ps Figure 2: (a) Simulated currents at the proposed tracer release site based on forecast EN324_FC.34 (b) Simulated trajectory of a particle launched at the tracer release site. Electronic: mooring_tr2d.ps drifter_tr2d.ps 0523 ---- Figure 1: (a) Simulated currents at the proposed tracer release site based on forecast EN324_FC.35. (b) Simulated trajectory of a particle launched at the tracer release site. Electronic: mooring_tr2e.ps drifter_tr2e.ps Figure 2: Simulated trajectories of a particle launched at the Ledwell release site, (a) based on forecast EN324_FC.36, and (b) EN324_FC.37. Electronic: drifter_led_36.ps drifter_led_37.ps Figure 3: Simulated trajectories of a particle launched at the Houghton release site, (a) based on forecast EN324_FC.36, and (b) EN324_FC.37. Electronic: drifter_houghton_36.ps drifter_houghton_37.ps 0524 ---- Figure 1: Comparison of observed drifter trajectories with those simulated in run EN324_FC.38dr. Electronic: [missing] Figure 2: Simulated trajectories of a particle launched at the Ledwell release site based on forecast EN324_FC.38. Electronic: drifter_led_38.ps 0525 ---- Figure 1: Comparison of observed drifter trajectories with those simulated in runs (a) EN324_FC.40 (b) EN324_FC.41 (c) EN324_FC.41cdr (d) EN324_FC.42 (e) EN324_FC.43 (f) EN324_FC.44 Electronic: en324_fc.XX_dr.ps XX=40,41,41cdr,42,43,44 0526 ---- Figure 1: (a-l) Comparison of observed drifter trajectories with those simulated in runs EN324_FC.45-48. Electronic: en324_fc.XX_drYY.ps, XX=45,46,47,48 ; YY=1,2,3 0527 ---- Figure 1: (a-f) Comparison of observed drifter trajectories with those simulated in runs EN324_FC.54dr,49b,50b,52b,55. See figure 0526.1 for run EN324_FC.47. Electronic: en324_fc.XX_drYY.ps, XX=47,54dr,49b,50b,52b,55; YY=1,2 Figure 2: Simulated trajectories based on forecast EN324_FC.54 for (a) the first pycnocline tracer release since the last observation of its center of mass, and (b) the second pycnocline tracer release from its point of injection. Electronic: drifter_led_54.ps drifter_led_54a.ps 0529 ---- Figure 1: Simulated drifter trajectories for the ensemble of forecasts (a) EN324_FC.52b, (b) EN324_FC.54, and (c) EN324_FC.55. Electronic: drifter_led_52b_a.ps drifter_led_54a.ps drifter_led_55a.ps Figure 2: Updated forecast of the drifter trajectory based on simulation EN324_FC.55. Electronic: drifter_led_56a.ps