DRAFT ANNOUNCEMENT - 1 December 2003

U.S. GLOBEC Funding Opportunity

PROGRAM SOLICITATION

Global Ocean Ecosystems Dynamics - Northeast Pacific Program

Phase III - Synthesis for the California Current System

National Science Foundation
(number not yet assigned)
Directorate for Geosciences
Division of Ocean Sciences

Full Proposal Deadline
(due by 5 p.m. proposer's local time)
March 31, 2004


SUMMARY OF PROGRAM REQUIREMENTS:

I - INTRODUCTION

The Global Ocean Ecosystems Dynamics (U.S. GLOBEC) program is a component of the U.S. Global Change Research Program, with the goals of understanding and ultimately predicting how populations of marine animal species (holozooplankton, fish and benthic invertebrates) respond to natural and anthropogenic changes in global climate. U.S. GLOBEC is also the U.S. component of the GLOBEC International program, a core project of the International Geosphere-Biosphere Program (IGBP), with co-sponsorship from the Scientific Committee on Oceanic Research (SCOR) and the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC). This notice is under the auspices of the U.S. GLOBEC program within NSF/OCE and the regional ecosystem studies and U.S. GLOBEC initiatives of NOAA's COP.

Specific goals of the GLOBEC NEP program are:

  1. To understand the potential impacts of climate variability and change on the dynamics of shelf ecosystems and on the distribution, abundance and production of several specific target species;

  2. To embody this understanding in conceptual and quantitative models capable of capturing ecosystem and population level responses on a broad range of space and time scales; and

  3. To improve the predictability and management of U.S. living marine resources.

The U.S. GLOBEC program in the Northeast Pacific has thus far consisted of a regionally-combined Phase I of modeling, retrospective and pilot field studies, followed by regionally-separate Phase II field and model studies in the two NEP subregions (CCS and CGOA, Phases IIa and IIb, respectively). Phase I and II studies have resulted in substantial new data sets and understanding of physical-chemical-biological interactions in shelf, slope, and adjacent deep-ocean habitats in each of these individual regions. Insights are emerging on how nearshore marine animal populations in these two regions have responded to large-scale atmospheric and ocean forcing.

ELECTRONIC ACCESS

Data collected under the U.S. GLOBEC Northeast Pacific (NEP) Program and associated documentation is available to all researchers at http://globec.coas.oregonstate.edu/groups/nep/data_access/data_index.html under protocols established under the U.S. GLOBEC Data Policy.

The synthesis and comparative analysis phase will be an open competition and not restricted to those investigators that have been funded in past NEP activities. The Northeast Pacific Implementation plan (U.S. GLOBEC Report No. 17) is based on U.S. GLOBEC documents resulting from several community-wide meetings where U.S. oceanographers and fisheries scientists specified key scientific issues and research priorities for the eastern Pacific. For the California Current System (CCS), these are U.S.GLOBEC Report No. 7 and U.S. GLOBEC Report No. 11. For the coastal Gulf of Alaska (CGOA), the relevant reports are U.S. GLOBEC Report No. 15 and U.S. GLOBEC Report No. 16. Copies of these documents are available at: http://globec.coas.oregonstate.edu/groups/nep/reports/reports.home.html

II - PROGRAM DESCRIPTION

This request for proposals constitutes the initiation of a Phase IIIa to conduct regional synthesis of the California Current System region (to be followed ca. 1 year later by a similar Phase IIIb for CGOA synthesis) and comparative analysis in the U.S. GLOBEC Northeast Pacific Program. A principal objective of Phase IIIa is to foster integration and synthesis of data collected during the field phases of the California Current program and other relevant data and knowledge (including comparison to results of CGOA studies and other regions, satellite data, and retrospective data sets), through group interactions and modeling activities; no new field work will be supported. The Phase IIIa initiative is open to the participation of scientists without past involvement in U.S. GLOBEC as well as current U.S. GLOBEC investigators. Past GLOBEC NEP activities and data sets resulting from prior funded projects are cataloged or accessible from http://globec.coas.oregonstate.edu/. Synthesis proposed towards this announcement should emphasize the integration of multidisciplinary observations and models in the CCS. Effective synthesis and comparative analysis projects may want to include many principal investigators of diverse CCS interests to ensure close coordination of research groups.

Research Program Goals:

Within the overall goal outlined above, the Northeast Pacific Program continues to have five specific goals:

  1. To determine how changing climate, especially its impacts on local wind and buoyancy forcing and basin-scale currents, affect spatial and temporal variability in mesoscale circulation and water column structure.

  2. To quantify how physical features in the California Current System and variability related to climate change impact zooplankton biomass, production, distribution, and the retention and loss of zooplankton from coastal regions. There is particular emphasis on the euphausiids Euphausia pacifica and Thysanoessa spinifera and calanoid copepods, and how these, in turn, influence the distributions of higher trophic levels, such as forage fish, coho and chinook salmon, and marine birds and mammals.

  3. To quantify the impacts of key coastal physical and biological processes, including (i) primary and secondary production, (ii) intensity and effectiveness of upwelling, (iii) cross-shelf transport associated with wind-driven upwelling, and (iv) variability in the timing of the spring transition, on controlling juvenile salmon growth and survival in the coastal zone of the CCS.

  4. To determine the extent to which high and variable mortality of juvenile coho and chinook salmon in the coastal region of the California Current is responsible for large interannual variation in adult salmon populations. To determine whether and how the proximate mortality causes (e.g., predation, parasites, starvation, loss by advection) are affected by climate variability.

  5. To compare the impacts of climate variability and change (such as El Nino-La Nina cycles and regime shifts) on similar marine animal populations (euphausiids, salmon) of the CCS and CGOA.

Anticipated products of the Northeast Pacific projects will be:

  1. Improved knowledge (e.g., mechanistic understanding) of the impact of climate variability on specific marine populations and ecosystems of the eastern North Pacific;

  2. Robust and reliable coupled biophysical models that can be used to examine impacts of climate variability on NEP ecosystems and integrate disparate observations in coastal ecosystems;

  3. Detailed and quality controlled datasets of physical, chemical and biological conditions in the NEP that will be used in model validation, for documenting episodic or natural variability, and to provide a baseline and basis for future research in the region, and

  4. New tools, indices or strategies that provide better management of living marine resources--perhaps by using integrated environmental and ecosystem data to better account for variability in production and recruitment of key resources. Synthesis projects funded under the present announcement should focus on achieving these products.

The specific objectives and scientific questions related to these goals are described in greater detail in the U.S. GLOBEC Northeast Pacific Implementation Plan (Report No. 17) referenced earlier in this Document. This report should be consulted in responding to this announcement.

Research Approach

Phase IIIa of the U.S. GLOBEC Northeast Pacific Program will emphasize a number of topic areas. Examples of appropriate topics to be considered are described below (this list is not meant to be exhaustive). The intent is for coordinated activities that collectively address the program goals. It is anticipated that proposed work may address more than one of these or other topic areas.

  1. Synthesis of Data Sets:
    Integration of long term observation program (LTOP), process, and survey components of the program, and of remote sensing data, retrospective data sets, and modeling analyses are critical in the development of the synthesis research efforts. Investigators who have not been involved in the earlier phases of the program, but who have new ideas about how to analyze or model currently available data sets are strongly encouraged to participate. Investigators involved in the earlier field phases of the program are encouraged to collaborate in the integration of their data sets with other data sets to facilitate multi-disciplinary approaches to understanding factors affecting the dynamics of the target organisms.

    Topics under this initiative include, but are not limited to:

  2. Physical / Biological Modeling:
    The development and use of conceptual and quantitative models to investigate physical and coupled physical/biological processes have been emphasized throughout the U.S. GLOBEC Northeast Pacific program. Circulation models have been used to examine the effects of episodic upwelling on nearshore retention of plankton populations, and to explore the influence of wind forcing on alongshore and cross-shelf flow near a shelf bank and coastal headland using both idealized and realistic regional bathymetry and forcing. These studies have mostly involved diagnostic models. In Phase IIIa, these and other model approaches (including prognostic and data assimilation) will be encouraged, with the following multiple aims:

  3. Broader Scale Effects Influenced by Climate Change and Comparative Regional Studies:
    Waters from the Subarctic and transition ocean regions that are advected eastward (West Wind Drift) split into two limbs (currents) as they approach the west coast of North America: to the south, the water enters and becomes a major contributor to the California Current; to the north, the water enters and becomes important to the Alaska Current. Nutrients and seed populations of plankton from the West Wind drift are important to these coastal ecosystems. Moreover, recent responses of the zooplankton fauna of the Pacific Northwest region suggest that there may be significant transport of subarctic species from the Gulf of Alaska to west coast regions. It has been hypothesized that the contributions of the West Wind Drift to these two downstream regions are out-of-phase and primarily controlled by longer-term large-scale fluctuations in North Pacific climate--particularly, by the positions and strengths of the atmospheric pressure systems in the region. These longer term changes in ocean basin scale atmospheric forcings have had well documented impacts on biological populations in both coastal and oceanic regions of the northeast Pacific Ocean. A well documented "regime shift" occurred in 1976-77, and fortuitously for GLOBEC, another may have occurred in 1998. Plankton abundance and salmon survival have increased in the Pacific Northwest since 1998, corresponding to a change in the sign of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.

    In Phase IIIa, emphasis will be placed on the inter-regional comparison and coupling of target species populations through the larger scale current systems. This initiative will provide an opportunity for evaluation of large-scale environmental influences. Integration and collective analysis of data sets from throughout the Northeast Pacific (including both GLOBEC CCS and CGOA programs as well as other research from the region) are encouraged. Together with historical data sets, recent observations made during earlier GLOBEC NEP phases can be used to evaluate the effects of environment on zooplankton populations and survival of juvenile salmon at multiple spatial and temporal scales. In addition to the CCS and CGOA regions within the NEP, the U.S. GLOBEC program more broadly includes research conducted at sites in the Northwest Atlantic and the Southern Ocean. Non-GLOBEC funded, but conceptually related, research programs also exist in other eastern and western boundary currents. These related studies provide an opportunity for broader syntheses and comparative analyses that integrate data sets, models and knowledge gained in the CCS with similar information from comparable ecosystems. This solicitation encourages comparative studies of this broader nature, where they increase our understanding of ecosystem response to changing conditions in the CCS. Comparative studies might include such topics as inter-ocean analyses of target zooplankton or predator taxa with other species having similar (or contrasting) life histories; comparative study of regional circulation and ecosystem responses to basin- and larger-scale climate influences; inter-ocean contrasts of the effects of wind and buoyancy forcing on nearshore retention and loss of pelagic organisms, etc. Comparative studies might employ remote sensing and bio-physical models to analyze ecosystem responses to climate variability in different regions, or develop new indices and measures for comparison. In proposing to compare the CCS to other regions, it is critical that the proposals clearly identify the processes and characteristics of the CCS that will be better understood through generalizations to and/or contrasts with the other systems.

    By encouraging proposals that reach beyond the CCS, this solicitation does not seek to downplay the value of studies that integrate the data sets, models and understanding gained entirely within the CCS. These have high priority, since in many cases they are necessary before broader comparisons can be possible. Rather, it seeks to point out the increased understanding of CCS processes that may be achieved by extending the proposed activities beyond the CCS. These extensions will also begin the broader synthesis activities that are expected to be requested specifically by subsequent program solicitations in U.S. GLOBEC.

  4. Development of Indices to Characterize Environmental and Ecosystem Status and Change.
    A more complete understanding of the NEP-CCS ecosystem gained through the U.S. GLOBEC program should allow for the design of better, more efficient, and more informative, monitoring programs in the region. Achieving this improvement will involve determining indices for the physical and lower trophic level system components that best characterize the status of the ecosystem, particularly in relation to potential higher trophic level production. An important goal is for the indices to identify the environmental influence on juvenile salmon survival variability that can be incorporated into the assessment of the fish stocks in the region. Indices may be derived from directly measured parameters (from field observations), remotely sensed parameters, or from output of specific configurations of coupled physical-biological models. One form that this type of synthesis may take is a written documentation of the state of the Northern California Current ecosystem during the GLOBEC years. Such a document should include an overview of the GLOBEC NEP-CCS program and how it led to the identification of indices, and use of these variables in summarizing the state of the ecosystem. This could be published initially as a NOAA Coastal Ocean Program Decision Analysis Series report, but could also be updated on a regular basis as a tool to provide regional managers with ecosystem information.

III - ELIGIBILITY INFORMATION

The categories of proposers identified in the Grant Proposal Guide are eligible to submit proposals under this program announcement/solicitation.

IV - AWARD INFORMATION

Estimated program budget, number of awards and average award size/duration are subject to the availability of funds. Some additional funding may be available to facilitate the support of participants that would not normally be eligible for direct NSF support, such as researchers from federal agencies. Potential federal participants are requested to discuss their level of participation with Elizabeth Turner (Elizabeth.Turner@NOAA.gov); (301) 713-3338).

V - PROPOSAL PREPARATION & SUBMISSION INSTRUCTIONS

  1. Full Proposal Preparation Instructions:

  2. Budgetary Information / Cost Sharing:
    Cost sharing is not required in proposals submitted under this Program Solicitation.

  3. Due Date:
    Full Proposals must be submitted by 5 p.m. (proposer's local time) on March 31, 2004.

  4. FastLane Requirements:
    Proposers are required to prepare and submit all proposals for this announcement/solicitation through the FastLane system. Detailed instructions for proposal preparation and submission via FastLane are available at http://www.fastlane.nsf.gov/a1/newstan.htm. For FastLane user support, call the FastLane Help Desk at 1-800-673-6188 or e-mail fastlane@nsf.gov. The FastLane Help Desk answers general technical questions related to the use of the FastLane system. Specific questions related to this program announcement/solicitation should be referred to the NSF program staff contact(s) listed in Section VIII of this announcement/solicitation.

  5. Submission of Electronically Signed Cover Sheets:
    The Authorized Organizational Representative (AOR) must electronically sign the proposal Cover Sheet to submit the required proposal certifications (see Chapter II, Section C of the Grant Proposal Guide for a listing of the certifications). The AOR must provide the required electronic certifications within five working days following the electronic submission of the proposal. Proposers are no longer required to provide a paper copy of the signed Proposal Cover Sheet to NSF. Further instructions regarding this process are available on the FastLane Website at: http://www.fastlane.nsf.gov/.

VI - PROPOSAL REVIEW INFORMATION

VII - AWARD ADMINISTRATION INFORMATION

VIII - CONTACTS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

General inquiries regarding this program should be made to: Phillip R. Taylor, Program Director, Directorate for Geosciences, Division of Ocean Sciences, 725 N, telephone: (703) 292-8582, fax: (703) 292-9085, e-mail: prtaylor@nsf.gov

For questions related to the use of FastLane, contact: Kandace S. Binkley, Associate Program Director, Directorate for Geosciences, Division of Ocean Sciences, 725 N, telephone: (703) 292-8583, fax: (703) 292-9085, e-mail: kbinkley@nsf.gov

IX - OTHER PROGRAMS OF INTEREST

The NSF Guide to Programs is a compilation of funding for research and education in science, mathematics, and engineering. The NSF Guide to Programs is available electronically at http://www.nsf.gov/cgi-bin/getpub?gp. General descriptions of NSF programs, research areas, and eligibility information for proposal submission are provided in each chapter.

Many NSF programs offer announcements or solicitations concerning specific proposal requirements. To obtain additional information about these requirements, contact the appropriate NSF program offices. Any changes in NSF's fiscal year programs occurring after press time for the Guide to Programs will be announced in the NSF E-Bulletin, which is updated daily on the NSF Website at http://www.nsf.gov/home/ebulletin, and in individual program announcements/solicitations. Subscribers can also sign up for NSF's Custom News Service (http://www.nsf.gov/home/cns/start.htm) to be notified of new funding opportunities that become available.




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